Monday, December 05, 2005

Where Do We Go From Here?


This is very concerning.

El Baradei: Iran only months away from a bomb

IAEA chairman Muhammad ElBaradei on Monday confirmed Israel's assessment that Iran is only a few months away from creating an atomic bomb.

If Teheran indeed resumed its uranium enrichment in other plants, as threatened, it will take it only "a few months" to produce a nuclear bomb, El-Baradei told The Independent.

Iran has already made it clear that they wish to wipe Israel off the map.

If you recall, I posted this about a month ago.

Here are the key points.

The Iranian government produced sophisticated visual props for this important speech, designed to send a message to the USA and the English speaking world. Those who produced this graphic were sophisticated enough to know that it would provide a great photo op.What is the message they are trying to send?

Yes, that is the USA already at the bottom of the hourglass. But notice that the USA is already broken in the bottom of the hourglass prior to the fall of Israel.

The issue of this [World without Zionism] conference is very valuable. In this very grave war, many people are trying to scatter grains of desperation and hopelessness regarding the struggle between the Islamic world and the front of the infidels ...

Is it possible for us to witness a world without America and Zionism? But you had best know that this slogan and this goal are attainable, and surely can be achieved.

So how would the Iranian regime achieve this?

You only need to listen to Ahmadinejad's chief strategic guru Hassan Abbassi, for the answer. Abbassi is the architect of the so-called "war preparation plan" currently under way in Iran. This is the same Hassan Abbassi who said:


We have a strategy drawn up for the destruction of Anglo-Saxon civilization... we must make use of everything we have at hand to strike at this front by means of our suicide operations or by means of our missiles. There are 29 sensitive sites in the U.S. and in the West. We have already spied on these sites and we know how we are going to attack them.

Once we have defeated the Anglo-Saxons the rest will run for cover," he told his audience.So it appears that in the short term, the regime is hoping to start a limited war with the USA that it believes it can survive, since they don't believe that the West has the will nor the means to occupy Iran at this time. This will buy them time for their longer term strategic plans for the world.

Let's sum this up.

Iran's President Ahmadinejad and his chief strategic advisor Hassan Abbassi, have devised a plan to hit America and the West in 29 sensitive sites.

They wish to wipe Israel off the map.

And now they are only a few months away from having nuclear bombs.

First and foremost, this should be on every American's mind.

But it's not being reported to the level it deserves, and that is wrong.

Second, is it possible that The US went into Iraq to get a military stronghold in a strategic position near the real threat, Iran?

It would make sense.

Is it possible that Bush was killing two birds with one stone?

Take out an evil dictator, and set up for the ultimate goal of stopping the greater evil in Iran.

If that was the real reason for going into Iraq, Bush would have been foolish to disclose that.

Since we've seen how nasty Republicans and Democrats are to eachother, he would not be able to be forthright with his entire plan.

The Democrats would take it all public, and criticize it.

At that point Iran would be in on the long term plan, and then the plan would be totally ineffective.

In previous wars we didn't have instant news, there was no internet, no cable, no satelite, and no easy access to world media.

Times have changed, and so should war strategies.

The United States gained independance from England by using unconventional warfare.

If we are going to defeat terrorism, and the jihad, we must not make the same mistakes that England made.

Convensional warfare isn't going to work against the jihad, and Iran knows it.

I only hope The US knows it too, and I hope the US people have the fortitude to carry it out.

I have my doubts, but I hope I'm wrong.

3 Comments:

Blogger Jason_Pappas said...

I thought from the beginning that Iraq had strategic importance – being between Saudi Arabia and Iran. And our being in Iraq and Afghanistan puts us on both sides of Iran. Of course, Saddam was a threat and we couldn’t be sure what he was up to. But the strategic importance is part of the total picture.

What worries me is that Bush might not act in time due to the anti-war criticism implying that we can’t act against covert threats – only threats that have materialized. As was explained before Iraq, you can’t wait until you see a mushroom cloud in New York. However, the critics, with full support of the media, are in essence saying just that – we have to wait for the dastardly act.

I wish Bush would make the case that Iran is a gathering threat and our critics, who may be right at times about details of implementation in the Iraq nations-building, have gone too far in their attacks. Critics have effectively demoralized and potentially paralyzed the administration’s ability to form a consensus to deal with the danger of Iran. I think the vote on immediate Iraq-withdrawal was brilliant and basically ended the issue. Perhaps one on sanctioning Iran will put everyone on the record.

Bush should double-down rather than move back from the "game table."

8:25 AM  
Blogger Pastorius said...

I agree with Jason that Bush should double down, but I think this article proves that we are way past the point of sanctions. I think it is time to hit them militarily.

Sanctions will be a diplomatic quagmire from which we will have trouble extricating ourselves, just as inspections were in Iraq. The truth is, we weren't able to extricate ourselves from that quagmire. Instead, we just acted unilaterally which is what we ought to be doing in Iran and

RIGHT NOW!

I note that both of you express concern that Bush doesn't have the political capital to make a move. I also fear that is true. If we don't make a move then the Israelis likely will. The problem with that is the only feasible move is a MASSIVE and relentless missile attack on 300 nuclear facilities, many of which are in cities. I don't think the Israelis have the money, let alone the hardware.

All Israel will accomplish by attacking Iran is to start a huge war, which will bring us into it.

If Iran is not taken care of, we will eventually wake to find that New York has been hit with a nuclear weapon. At that point, life as we know it will change, and we will have to become more brutal than the barbarous Islamic Jihadis. We will become a Vlad the Impailer nation.

I don't want to see that happen, but that is the price of appeasement.

10:08 AM  
Blogger JMJ said...

Fu2rman, Jason and Pastorius,

Good points all.

You ready for this?

"What worries me is that Bush might not act in time due to the anti-war criticism implying that we can’t act against covert threats – only threats that have materialized."

I agree Jason. I think the Left and the many war-weary on the "Right of Center" will see anything that we are not directly "pulled" into as another "unnecessary" war with further divisions amongst ourselves.

The West and the US MUST be united on this GWOT, even if by coercion. (ie - FDR let Pearl Harbor happen)

I think we are getting to the point of no return, especially with the appeasement trends in Europe regarding free speech, riots, spread of radical Islam in SE Asia, etc. The trend is ominous. We can't let ourselves get any further behind.

As much as I think this will ignite the whole Middle East, much less Europe and the rest of the world, I think it is Israel's turn to "run the ball up the middle" while we "block". And we then get "pulled" into it. I think this will be the only thing that will get us as a (united) nation to go after Iran militarily.

Pastorius, where did you get the 300 cities figure? Still, even if true, what are our alternatives? I admit to being concerned about long term US deficits and debts but we would have to be Israel's partner, financially and militarily. You do what you gotta do.

Israel is as motivated, if not more than we are, to NOT allow Iran to possess the bomb. I read that the Israeli Intelligence chief say that if Iran continued enriching uranium that by March '06, military strikes would be on the table from Israel.

Armegeddon may be coming (call it what you will) but I think in the last year, Islam has finally showed its true hand. It's time the Western World took off its blinders and defended itself with the vigor that our freedoms and human rights deserve.

Our motivation will trump theirs but still it won't be easy by a long shot. The longer we wait, the deeper the hole we have to dig ourselves out of. And it will still be a long, messy and extremely hard slog!

It's time.

As Todd Beamer, from Flight 93, said, "Let's roll".

JMJ

10:06 PM  

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